The virtual vote of 300 delegates from her party in California gives Kamala Harris enough delegates for the White House nomination. The vice president of the United States now has well over the 1,976 delegates she needs to win the election in the first round. The challenge to Donald Trump is therefore launched. The official announcement will come on August 7. And in the meantime, you spoke for the first time from your headquarters of attacking your opponent, defined as a crook and a sexual predator. But he also decided that he would not be present in the Senate for Benjamin Netanyahu's speech: he would meet the Israeli prime minister in a private meeting. But can Kamala Harris win against Trump? The polls currently put her at a disadvantage. But according to experts and political scientists, the candidate will be able to exploit certain advantages.
It will be harder for Trump to win
In the meantime, he's already gotten one result. It's going to be harder for Donald Trump to win, as John Nichols of The Nation explains. daily event: “I think he's more afraid of Harris than Biden. She'll certainly be younger and more dynamic than him. She could aspire to match Obama's performances in 2008 and 2012.” According to Nichols, in the polls, “the president's numbers had dropped considerably, and at the same time Harris's had improved. Above all, the vice president seems to be doing better than Biden in the key states, where the presidential game will really be decided.” While there will be no problem regarding the candidacy: “The Convention will be dominated by strong internal movements that will tend to converge the votes towards her to avoid unrest.”
“To hell with the polls!”
“To hell with what the polls say. We can throw them in the trash, they were all made up a week ago,” he says instead. Republic Larry Sabato, a political scientist and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. “Obviously they still have the Republican as the frontrunner. But I personally think he’s done for. Democrats can do it. And you never look at the immediate impact of an event — the shooting in this case — but the long-term impact. There’s not much time left, but from now on the campaign is going to take a new step, it’s going to be very fast,” he added. Sabato said Trump was “raving, saying things that don’t make any sense and have no truth in them.” And his acceptance speech “turned into a monologue with no rhyme or reason.” Trump “is not ready to take on a woman of mixed blood.”
Biden and Harris
The indiscretion that Biden was hesitant to drop out because he was not convinced of Harris' candidacy, according to Sabato, is false. “It was simply difficult for Biden to digest that his time had passed. The presidency was the aspiration of his entire political career. In 2020, he won a very difficult election and was just nominated as the candidate with very high percentages. In the end, he dropped out because people he trusted told him so, friends he knew were on his side and who certainly were not plotting against him. His condition is deteriorating more and more rapidly, it is there, in plain sight. It was now impossible to “sell” him as president for the next four years, when everyone was convinced that he would not last even for the next four months.”
“We will win”
“I know the campaign has been a roller coaster ride, but we have 106 days left and we will win. I want to earn the nomination and beat Donald Trump. When we fight, we win,” Harris began in Wilmington at the Biden campaign headquarters that now bears her name. After receiving a standing ovation from staff and campaign leaders Jen O'Malley Dillon and Julie Chavez, she immediately reaffirmed her commitment to complete continuity. Her husband was also in attendance, whom she embraced. “In this election, each of us is faced with a question: What kind of country do we want to live in? A country of freedom, passion and law and order, or a country of chaos, fear and hate?” Harris said. Who then promised to put reproductive rights at the center of his campaign, starting with abortion, and the repression of guns, with universal controls on buyers, alert laws (against people deemed dangerous) and the prohibition of attacks with weapons.
The Netanyahu case
Meanwhile, the Netanyahu case is dancing. Harris will not be in the Senate for the Israeli Prime Minister's speech, but will have a private meeting with him. A decision already made before Biden's withdrawal. “He had a prior commitment to Indianapolis,” tried to minimize a Harris aide, who however seems to want to adopt a more intransigent position towards Israel and its management of the war in Gaza, also against a backdrop of protests from the Democratic base.
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